Thomas Schaller, writing in The American Prospect (free, one-time registration req.), has an interesting article today, Will the GOP Make a Statement?. The nut graf:
So allow me to dispatch with all the “it’s way too early” disclaimers and offer a bold prediction about the 2008 presidential contest: Rank-and-file Republicans are going to throw the fight. Rather than make electability their primary criterion for selecting their nominee, GOP primary voters will opt to send a protest message to the party’s establishment and Beltway insiders by nominating a statement candidate who is none of the Big Three [McCain, Romney, Rudy].
When I was handicapping the GOP candidates a few days ago, I thought of this, but didn’t have anything much to go on. I’m thinking that the most likely candidate for conservatives who are more interested in sending a message than winning would be Brownback.